Football · Brazil Serie C · 26/07, 21:00

Prediction: Ypiranga RS vs Barra FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Ypiranga RS1.44
Barra FC0.93
1X2
48% 28% 24%
Ypiranga RS Draw Barra FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ypiranga RS 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDWDWL
Barra FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLDLDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ypiranga RS 1475 · Barra FC 1471
Ypiranga RSDrawBarra FC
Our model48%29%23%
Market49%27%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ypiranga RSBarra FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.50.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.51.2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Standings · Brazil Serie C

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter de Limeira 14743 171425
2 Brusque 14734 201524
3 Santa Cruz FC 14734 151024
4 Paysandu 14725 221923
5 Guarani 14653 251423
6 Botafogo PB 14716 191522
7 Maringa FC 14644 272422
8 Ferroviaria SP 14644 151222
9 Caxias RS 14563 131021
10 Floresta EC 14554 151420
11 Ituano 14545 161619
12 Ypiranga RS 14536 171918
13 Volta Redonda 14536 101518
14 Amazonas FC 14527 131917
15 Maranhao 14455 111417
16 Figueirense 14455 121817
17 Itabaiana 14446 121716
18 Barra FC 14365 171615
19 AD Confianca 14329 81411
20 Anapolis FC 14239 9189

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYpiranga RSBarra FC
AD Confianca 1-1 D 2-1 W
Santa Cruz FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Brusque 0-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barra FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ypiranga RS

WLLLLDWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 55 L
05/07 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 42 W
29/06 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 94 D
21/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 28 W
16/06 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 127 D
31/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-2 47 L
25/05 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 74 L
16/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
1-2 1-4 95 L
11/05 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-3 43 L
05/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 96 W

Barra FC

DLDLDLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-2 45 L
05/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 24 W
27/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 10 L
21/06 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 44 D
16/06 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 03 L
02/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 63 D
23/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-2 73 L
17/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 26 D
15/05 Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-1 04 L
10/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 16 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ypiranga RS vs Barra FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ypiranga RS win (48%). Probabilities: Ypiranga RS 48%, draw 28%, Barra FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ypiranga RS vs Barra FC?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Ypiranga RS 1.44 · Barra FC 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ypiranga RS vs Barra FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.