Football · Brazil Serie C · 26/07, 21:00

Prediction: Brusque vs Ituano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Brusque1.36
Ituano0.86
1X2
48% 29% 23%
Brusque Draw Ituano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brusque 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWDLWLWL
Ituano 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLDDDLL
Head-to-head
Brusque 2–2–2 Ituano (6 last)
  • Ituano0-0Brusque
  • Brusque1-0Ituano
  • Ituano1-1Brusque
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brusque 1498 · Ituano 1479
BrusqueDrawItuano
Our model47%30%22%
Market48%29%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrusqueItuano
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 10.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.83.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.15.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brusque 222 Ituano

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/25
Brazil Serie C
Ituano0-0
HT 0-0
Brusque
14/10/24
Brazil Serie B
Brusque1-0
HT 0-0
Ituano
23/06/24
Brazil Serie B
Ituano1-1
HT 0-0
Brusque
24/09/22
Brazil Serie B
Ituano2-0
HT 1-0
Brusque
11/06/22
Brazil Serie B
Brusque0-1
HT 0-1
Ituano
12/01/21
Brazil Serie C
Brusque4-2
HT 2-2
Ituano

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter de Limeira 14743 171425
2 Brusque 14734 201524
3 Santa Cruz FC 14734 151024
4 Paysandu 14725 221923
5 Guarani 14653 251423
6 Botafogo PB 14716 191522
7 Maringa FC 14644 272422
8 Ferroviaria SP 14644 151222
9 Caxias RS 14563 131021
10 Floresta EC 14554 151420
11 Ituano 14545 161619
12 Ypiranga RS 14536 171918
13 Volta Redonda 14536 101518
14 Amazonas FC 14527 131917
15 Maranhao 14455 111417
16 Figueirense 14455 121817
17 Itabaiana 14446 121716
18 Barra FC 14365 171615
19 AD Confianca 14329 81411
20 Anapolis FC 14239 9189

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrusqueItuano
Itabaiana 0-1 L 2-2 D
Figueirense 3-1 W 0-0 D
Botafogo PB 0-2 L 1-0 W
Santa Cruz FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Ferroviaria SP 0-1 L 1-3 L
Ypiranga RS 3-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brusque (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brusque

DWLWDLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 57 L
02/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 133 D
24/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W
17/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 39 L
11/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-0 93 W
03/05 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 55 D

Ituano

LWWWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-3 107 L
05/07 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 94 L
29/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 67 D
21/06 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 104 D
14/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-2 2-2 76 D
31/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-2 46 L
26/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 45 W
17/05 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
2-1 3-1 710 W
11/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 76 W
05/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brusque vs Ituano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brusque win (48%). Probabilities: Brusque 48%, draw 29%, Ituano 23%.

How many goals are expected in Brusque vs Ituano?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Brusque 1.36 · Ituano 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brusque vs Ituano?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.