Football · Brazil Serie C · 26/07, 23:30

Prediction: Caxias RS vs Botafogo PB

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Caxias RS1.28
Botafogo PB0.86
1X2
45% 30% 24%
Caxias RS Draw Botafogo PB
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caxias RS 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDWDWLDDWD
Botafogo PB 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDWWWW
Head-to-head
Caxias RS 1–1–0 Botafogo PB (2 last)
  • Botafogo PB1-2Caxias RS
  • Botafogo PB1-1Caxias RS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caxias RS 1530 · Botafogo PB 1524
Caxias RSDrawBotafogo PB
Our model45%31%24%
Market46%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Caxias RSBotafogo PB
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.61.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.10.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.92.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.54.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caxias RS 110 Botafogo PB

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/06/25
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-2
HT 1-1
Caxias RS
29/04/24
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-1
HT 0-0
Caxias RS

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter de Limeira 14743 171425
2 Brusque 14734 201524
3 Santa Cruz FC 14734 151024
4 Paysandu 14725 221923
5 Guarani 14653 251423
6 Botafogo PB 14716 191522
7 Maringa FC 14644 272422
8 Ferroviaria SP 14644 151222
9 Caxias RS 14563 131021
10 Floresta EC 14554 151420
11 Ituano 14545 161619
12 Ypiranga RS 14536 171918
13 Volta Redonda 14536 101518
14 Amazonas FC 14527 131917
15 Maranhao 14455 111417
16 Figueirense 14455 121817
17 Itabaiana 14446 121716
18 Barra FC 14365 171615
19 AD Confianca 14329 81411
20 Anapolis FC 14239 9189

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaxias RSBotafogo PB
Anapolis FC 1-1 D 2-0 W
Maringa FC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Ituano 2-1 W 0-1 L
Maranhao 0-0 D 1-3 L
Paysandu 2-0 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Caxias RS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caxias RS

DDWDWLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 112 D
05/07 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 53 W
01/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 810 D
21/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 69 D
13/06 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 06 L
31/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 36 W
24/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 16 D
17/05 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 75 W
10/05 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 36 D
07/05 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-0 1-1 53 D

Botafogo PB

LLLLWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 51 W
06/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 18 W
01/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 94 W
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-0 12 W
16/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 07 D
30/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 35 W
26/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 75 L
19/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 84 L
09/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-2 1-3 89 L
04/05 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-3 2-4 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caxias RS vs Botafogo PB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Caxias RS win (45%). Probabilities: Caxias RS 45%, draw 30%, Botafogo PB 24%.

How many goals are expected in Caxias RS vs Botafogo PB?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Caxias RS 1.28 · Botafogo PB 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Caxias RS vs Botafogo PB?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.