Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Barra FC vs Volta Redonda

Team pages: Barra FC · Volta Redonda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Barra FC1.31

Volta Redonda0.76

1X2

49% 31% 21%

Barra FC Draw Volta Redonda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Barra FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLWL

Volta Redonda 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDLLWL

Head-to-head

Barra FC 0–1–0 Volta Redonda (1 last)

Volta Redonda0-0Barra FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barra FC 1458 · Volta Redonda 1460

	Barra FC	Draw	Volta Redonda
Our model	48%	31%	20%
Market	49%	30%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barra FC	Volta Redonda
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.91 ★
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	4.00 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:37 +3’	1.85	3.10	4.00
02:31 +8’	1.80▼	3.00▼	4.50▲
04:07 +13’	1.60▼	3.20▲	6.00▲
05:45 +13’	1.85▲	3.00▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:39 +2’	1.82	3.17	4.41
04:18 +2’	1.80▼	3.18▲	4.49▲
05:57	1.91▲	2.99▼	4.29▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barra FC 0–1–0 Volta Redonda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Copa do Brasil	Volta Redonda	0-0 HT 0-0	Barra FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brusque	18	9	4	5	26	20	31
2	Botafogo PB	18	9	3	6	26	19	30
3	Paysandu	18	9	2	7	26	26	29
4	Inter de Limeira	18	8	5	5	22	20	29
5	Santa Cruz FC	18	8	4	6	19	14	28
6	Ypiranga RS	18	8	4	6	25	22	28
7	Guarani	18	7	6	5	32	22	27
8	Ferroviaria SP	18	7	6	5	21	15	27
9	Maranhao	18	7	6	5	18	16	27
10	Maringa FC	18	7	6	5	31	30	27
11	Floresta EC	18	7	6	5	20	20	27
12	Amazonas FC	18	7	4	7	19	21	25
13	Figueirense	18	6	7	5	17	21	25
14	Caxias RS	18	6	6	6	17	16	24
15	Ituano	18	6	4	8	18	19	22
16	Volta Redonda	18	6	3	9	13	23	21
17	Anapolis FC	18	5	3	10	16	21	18
18	Barra FC	18	4	6	8	19	21	18
19	Itabaiana	18	4	5	9	14	25	17
20	AD Confianca	18	3	4	11	11	19	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barra FC	Volta Redonda
Maringa FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
Itabaiana	1-0 W	1-0 W
Ituano	0-2 L	1-0 W
AD Confianca	2-1 W	1-0 W
Floresta EC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Amazonas FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Volta Redonda (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barra FC

DLDLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Maringa FC Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
16/08	Itabaiana Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-0	20	4	W
09/08	Ituano Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
12/07	Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
05/07	AD Confianca Brazil Serie C	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
27/06	Floresta EC Brazil Serie C	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
21/06	Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
16/06	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
02/06	Brusque Brazil Serie C	1-0	2-2	6	3	D

Volta Redonda

WWLWLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Floresta EC Brazil Serie C	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
15/08	Ituano Brazil Serie C	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
09/08	Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
26/07	Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C	1-1	1-4	6	3	L
14/07	Figueirense Brazil Serie C	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/07	Maringa FC Brazil Serie C	0-3	0-4	8	2	L
01/07	Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C	0-0	3-0	3	10	W
20/06	Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
15/06	AD Confianca Brazil Serie C	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/05	Itabaiana Brazil Serie C	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barra FC vs Volta Redonda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barra FC win (49%). Probabilities: Barra FC 49%, draw 31%, Volta Redonda 21%.

How many goals are expected in Barra FC vs Volta Redonda?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Barra FC 1.31 · Volta Redonda 0.76), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Barra FC vs Volta Redonda?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.