Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Anapolis FC vs Santa Cruz FC

Team pages: Anapolis FC · Santa Cruz FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Anapolis FC1.08
Santa Cruz FC0.97
1X2
37% 31% 32%
Anapolis FC Draw Santa Cruz FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Anapolis FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWDLLWWLW
Santa Cruz FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWWLDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anapolis FC 1496 · Santa Cruz FC 1521
Anapolis FCDrawSanta Cruz FC
Our model36%33%31%
Market38%30%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Anapolis FCSanta Cruz FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 42.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.35.7 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 18945 262031
2 Botafogo PB 18936 261930
3 Paysandu 18927 262629
4 Inter de Limeira 18855 222029
5 Santa Cruz FC 18846 191428
6 Ypiranga RS 18846 252228
7 Guarani 18765 322227
8 Ferroviaria SP 18765 211527
9 Maranhao 18765 181627
10 Maringa FC 18765 313027
11 Floresta EC 18765 202027
12 Amazonas FC 18747 192125
13 Figueirense 18675 172125
14 Caxias RS 18666 171624
15 Ituano 18648 181922
16 Volta Redonda 18639 132321
17 Anapolis FC 185310 162118
18 Barra FC 18468 192118
19 Itabaiana 18459 142517
20 AD Confianca 183411 111913

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnapolis FCSanta Cruz FC
Botafogo PB 0-2 L 2-2 D
Caxias RS 1-1 D 2-0 W
Maranhao 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Cruz FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anapolis FC

DLWDLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 46 W
16/08 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 46 L
11/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 78 W
26/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-1 4-1 03 W
12/07 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 55 L
06/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 18 L
01/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 49 D
20/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 45 W
13/06 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 37 L
31/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D

Santa Cruz FC

DWLWWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 23 D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 16 W
27/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-1 24 W
21/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 108 L
14/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 37 W
31/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anapolis FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anapolis FC win (37%). Probabilities: Anapolis FC 37%, draw 31%, Santa Cruz FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Anapolis FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Anapolis FC 1.08 · Santa Cruz FC 0.97), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Anapolis FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.