Football · Brazil Serie C · 16/08, 00:30

Prediction: Brusque vs Inter de Limeira

Team pages: Brusque · Inter de Limeira

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Brusque1.21
Inter de Limeira0.96
1X2
41% 31% 28%
Brusque Draw Inter de Limeira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brusque 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLWLWL
Inter de Limeira 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLDWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brusque 1489 · Inter de Limeira 1541
BrusqueDrawInter de Limeira
Our model40%32%28%
Market41%30%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter de Limeira (rating 1489 vs 1541).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrusqueInter de Limeira
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.62.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.15.3 / 0.3

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter de Limeira 16844 201728
2 Brusque 16835 221727
3 Botafogo PB 16826 231826
4 Paysandu 16826 252226
5 Guarani 16754 291726
6 Santa Cruz FC 16745 171325
7 Ypiranga RS 16736 222024
8 Caxias RS 16664 161224
9 Ferroviaria SP 16664 171424
10 Amazonas FC 16727 182023
11 Maringa FC 16655 282823
12 Ituano 16646 181722
13 Floresta EC 16565 171921
14 Maranhao 16565 131521
15 Figueirense 16565 152021
16 Volta Redonda 16538 112118
17 Itabaiana 16457 132017
18 Anapolis FC 16439 152015
19 Barra FC 16367 171915
20 AD Confianca 163310 101712

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrusqueInter de Limeira
Maranhao 1-2 L 1-0 W
Itabaiana 0-1 L 0-0 D
Botafogo PB 0-2 L 1-0 W
Ferroviaria SP 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Inter de Limeira (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brusque

LWDLWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 83 L
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 57 L
02/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 133 D
24/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W
17/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 39 L

Inter de Limeira

WDWWLDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 62 W
28/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-3 24 L
12/07 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 611 W
04/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 27 W
27/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 125 D
21/06 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-2 74 L
14/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 38 W
31/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 47 W
24/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 84 D
19/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brusque vs Inter de Limeira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brusque win (41%). Probabilities: Brusque 41%, draw 31%, Inter de Limeira 28%.

How many goals are expected in Brusque vs Inter de Limeira?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Brusque 1.21 · Inter de Limeira 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brusque vs Inter de Limeira?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.