Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: NJS vs P-Iirot

Team pages: NJS · P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

NJS1

P-Iirot2.47

1X2

13% 17% 69%

NJS Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

NJS 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLLL

P-Iirot 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDWLDW

Head-to-head

NJS 0–1–2 P-Iirot (3 last)

P-Iirot5-0NJS
P-Iirot2-2NJS
NJS1-2P-Iirot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NJS 1384 · P-Iirot 1507

	NJS	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	13%	19%	69%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours P-Iirot (rating 1384 vs 1507).
H2H favours P-Iirot: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NJS	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 3	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.50

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:05 +11’	6.50	5.50	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NJS 0–1–2 P-Iirot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	5-0 HT 1-0	NJS
06/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	2-2 HT 1-0	NJS
02/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	NJS	1-2 HT 0-2	P-Iirot

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	14	10	4	0	42	12	34
2	AIFK	14	10	3	1	32	12	33
3	HJS	14	7	4	3	26	20	25
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	14	6	6	2	37	24	24
5	P-Iirot	14	6	3	5	24	20	21
6	EPS	14	6	2	6	26	21	20
7	GrIFK	14	4	3	7	17	26	15
8	EBK	14	3	3	8	21	34	12
9	MuSa	14	2	3	9	16	41	9
10	NJS	14	0	1	13	9	40	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NJS	P-Iirot
AIFK	1-2 L	0-2 L
EPS	1-2 L	0-2 L
EBK	1-3 L	1-1 D
GrIFK	0-2 L	1-1 D
HJS	0-3 L	3-0 W
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-7 L	2-1 W
MuSa	0-0 D	2-2 D
FC Honka	0-2 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: P-Iirot (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NJS

LLLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-3	4	4	L
03/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
27/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
13/06	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-4	1-7	–	–	L
05/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
23/05	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-5	6	5	L
18/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	1-4	1	6	L

P-Iirot

LWDLLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-5	4	4	L
04/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	2	11	D
23/05	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-0	3	5	W
17/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-3	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NJS vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is an P-Iirot win (69%). Probabilities: NJS 13%, draw 17%, P-Iirot 69%.

How many goals are expected in NJS vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.48 goals (NJS 1 · P-Iirot 2.47), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NJS vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.