Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: EPS vs FC Honka

Team pages: EPS · FC Honka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

EPS1.21

FC Honka2.64

1X2

15% 18% 67%

EPS Draw FC Honka

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

EPS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLWWW

FC Honka 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

EPS 0–1 FC Honka (1 last)

FC Honka2-1EPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1515 · FC Honka 1595

	EPS	Draw	FC Honka
Our model	15%	18%	67%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1515 vs 1595).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EPS	FC Honka
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	3.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.93

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +13’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 0–0–1 FC Honka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	2-1 HT 1-0	EPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	14	10	4	0	42	12	34
2	AIFK	14	10	3	1	32	12	33
3	HJS	14	7	4	3	26	20	25
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	14	6	6	2	37	24	24
5	P-Iirot	14	6	3	5	24	20	21
6	EPS	14	6	2	6	26	21	20
7	GrIFK	14	4	3	7	17	26	15
8	EBK	14	3	3	8	21	34	12
9	MuSa	14	2	3	9	16	41	9
10	NJS	14	0	1	13	9	40	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EPS	FC Honka
MuSa	2-0 W	7-1 W
NJS	2-1 W	2-0 W
P-Iirot	2-0 W	5-1 W
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-4 L	2-2 D
GrIFK	1-3 L	2-1 W
AIFK	1-2 L	1-0 W
HJS	3-1 W	1-1 D
EBK	2-2 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

EPS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-4	6	5	L
27/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
13/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
06/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
29/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
22/05	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
16/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-1	8	3	W

FC Honka

WWWLWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
04/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	7-1	5	3	W
26/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
13/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-1	8	4	W
09/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	1-4	1-7	1	3	L
06/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-1	5	7	W
29/05	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	2-0	10	5	W
26/05	VJS Vantaa Finland Cup	2-0	5-1	9	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs FC Honka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Honka win (67%). Probabilities: EPS 15%, draw 18%, FC Honka 67%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs FC Honka?

The model expects 3.85 goals (EPS 1.21 · FC Honka 2.64), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs FC Honka?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.