Prediction: GrIFK vs NJS
Expected goals: 3.47 (GrIFK 2.71 · NJS 0.75). The model gives 78% home, 14% draw, 8% away. Under 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, GrIFK sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while NJS arrives on a 0-1-9 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, GrIFK won 1 and NJS 0, with 3 draws.
| GrIFK | Draw | NJS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK (rating 1486 vs 1384).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GrIFK | NJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK 1–3–0 NJS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | NJS | 0-1 HT 0-0 | GrIFK |
| 22/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | GrIFK | 3-3 HT 2-1 | NJS |
| 13/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | NJS | 1-1 HT 0-1 | GrIFK |
| 12/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | GrIFK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NJS |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | AIFK | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | HJS | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | EPS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GrIFK | NJS |
|---|---|---|
| EPS | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| HJS | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| P-Iirot | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| EBK | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Honka | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| AIFK | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| MuSa | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: GrIFK (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GrIFK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 24/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Futura Finland Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
NJS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-4 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GrIFK vs NJS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK win (78%). Probabilities: GrIFK 78%, draw 14%, NJS 8%.
How many goals are expected in GrIFK vs NJS?
The model expects 3.47 goals (GrIFK 2.71 · NJS 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in GrIFK vs NJS?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.