Prediction: FC Honka vs MuSa
Expected goals: 4.67 (FC Honka 3.33 · MuSa 1.33). The model gives 83% home, 10% draw, 7% away. Under 4.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, FC Honka is 8-1-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and MuSa 1-3-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for FC Honka and 0 for MuSa.
| FC Honka | Draw | MuSa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 90% | 6% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1613 vs 1437).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Honka | MuSa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 1–0–0 MuSa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | MuSa | 0-6 HT 0-2 | FC Honka |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | AIFK | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | HJS | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | EPS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Honka | MuSa |
|---|---|---|
| AIFK | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| P-Iirot | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| EBK | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| NJS | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| EPS | 2-1 W | 1-6 L |
| GrIFK | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Honka (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Honka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | HJK Helsinki Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | VJS Vantaa Finland Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
MuSa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
3-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs MuSa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (83%). Probabilities: FC Honka 83%, draw 10%, MuSa 7%.
How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs MuSa?
The model expects 4.67 goals (FC Honka 3.33 · MuSa 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Honka vs MuSa?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.