Prediction: P-Iirot vs HJS
Expected goals: 2.98 (P-Iirot 1.34 · HJS 1.65). The model gives 31% home, 25% draw, 44% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves P-Iirot with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; HJS has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, P-Iirot won 2 and HJS 4.
| P-Iirot | Draw | HJS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (rating 1489 vs 1530).
- H2H favours HJS: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| P-Iirot | HJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · P-Iirot 2–0–4 HJS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HJS | 2-0 HT 0-0 | P-Iirot |
| 13/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | P-Iirot | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HJS |
| 25/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | P-Iirot | 3-0 HT 1-0 | HJS |
| 24/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HJS | 0-1 HT 0-1 | P-Iirot |
| 25/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HJS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | P-Iirot |
| 29/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HJS | 2-1 HT 2-0 | P-Iirot |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Honka | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | AIFK | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | HJS | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tampereen Ilves 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | P-Iirot | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | GrIFK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | EPS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
| 8 | EBK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 8 |
| 9 | MuSa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | NJS | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | P-Iirot | HJS |
|---|---|---|
| MuSa | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Honka | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| AIFK | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| GrIFK | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| NJS | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Tampereen Ilves 2 | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| EBK | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| EPS | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HJS (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
P-Iirot
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 23/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | PIF Parainen Finland Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
HJS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | TPS Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | PPJ Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in P-Iirot vs HJS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJS win (44%). Probabilities: P-Iirot 31%, draw 25%, HJS 44%.
How many goals are expected in P-Iirot vs HJS?
The model expects 2.98 goals (P-Iirot 1.34 · HJS 1.65), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in P-Iirot vs HJS?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.