Prediction: EBK vs EPS

Team pages: EBK · EPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
EBK1.66
EPS2.09
1X2
30% 23% 47%
EBK Draw EPS
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
EBK 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLWDLL
EPS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLWWWW
Head-to-head
EBK 0–1–0 EPS (1 last)
  • EPS2-2EBK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK 1438 · EPS 1519
EBKDrawEPS
Our model30%23%47%
Market30%23%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EPS (rating 1438 vs 1519).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBKEPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.81.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 6.82.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.63.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 010 EPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EPS2-2
HT 1-1
EBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 151041 441534
2 AIFK 151032 321333
3 HJS 15843 272028
4 Tampereen Ilves 2 15762 442427
5 P-Iirot 15735 252024
6 EPS 15726 292323
7 GrIFK 15537 192718
8 EBK 15339 223612
9 MuSa 152310 16489
10 NJS 150114 9411

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBKEPS
GrIFK 1-2 L 1-3 L
HJS 3-5 L 3-1 W
P-Iirot 1-1 D 2-0 W
NJS 3-1 W 2-1 W
AIFK 1-6 L 1-2 L
Tampereen Ilves 2 2-3 L 2-4 L
MuSa 0-2 L 2-0 W
FC Honka 1-4 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: EPS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK

LDLLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 1010 L
24/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-5 50 L
18/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
11/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 3-1 134 W
02/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 1-6 34 L
28/06 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-3 73 L
12/06 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 0-2 162 L
06/06 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-4 27 L
29/05 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-2 55 D
26/05 FC Inter
Finland Cup
1-1 1-2 05 L

EPS

LDWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-2 34 W
25/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 63 W
18/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-1 32 W
11/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 64 W
05/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-3 2-4 65 L
27/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
13/06 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-2 37 L
06/06 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/05 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 2-2 45 D
22/05 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-2 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK vs EPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EPS win (47%). Probabilities: EBK 30%, draw 23%, EPS 47%.

How many goals are expected in EBK vs EPS?

The model expects 3.75 goals (EBK 1.66 · EPS 2.09), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK vs EPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.