Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Team pages: HJS · Tampereen Ilves 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

HJS1.96

Tampereen Ilves 21.77

1X2

42% 23% 35%

HJS Draw Tampereen Ilves 2

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HJS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLDWWW

Tampereen Ilves 2 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDLW

Head-to-head

HJS 2–2–2 Tampereen Ilves 2 (6 last)

Tampereen Ilves 20-0HJS
Tampereen Ilves 22-1HJS
Tampereen Ilves 22-1HJS
HJS2-2Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 21-3HJS
HJS5-1Tampereen Ilves 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1513 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1576

	HJS	Draw	Tampereen Ilves 2
Our model	42%	23%	35%
Market	43%	22%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampereen Ilves 2 (rating 1513 vs 1576).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJS	Tampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	3.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	3.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.12
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.88 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:52 +7’	2.10	4.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +1’	2.12	3.51	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 2–2–2 Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	0-0 HT 0-0	HJS
09/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 0-0	HJS
09/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 2-0	HJS
06/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	2-2 HT 1-1	Tampereen Ilves 2
10/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	1-3 HT 1-1	HJS
02/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	5-1 HT 3-0	Tampereen Ilves 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	15	10	4	1	44	15	34
2	AIFK	15	10	3	2	32	13	33
3	HJS	15	8	4	3	27	20	28
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	15	7	6	2	44	24	27
5	P-Iirot	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
6	EPS	15	7	2	6	29	23	23
7	GrIFK	15	5	3	7	19	27	18
8	EBK	15	3	3	9	22	36	12
9	MuSa	15	2	3	10	16	48	9
10	NJS	15	0	1	14	9	41	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HJS	Tampereen Ilves 2
AIFK	1-0 W	1-1 D
EBK	5-3 W	3-2 W
MuSa	2-1 W	7-0 W
FC Honka	1-1 D	2-2 D
P-Iirot	0-3 L	1-2 L
NJS	3-0 W	7-1 W
GrIFK	2-2 D	6-2 W
EPS	1-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS

DDLDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
27/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-2	10	4	D
06/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
29/05	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/05	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Tampereen Ilves 2

WDWWWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W
10/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
28/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	3-2	1	3	W
13/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	4-1	7-1	–	–	W
29/05	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	4-3	20	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS win (42%). Probabilities: HJS 42%, draw 23%, Tampereen Ilves 2 35%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 3.72 goals (HJS 1.96 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.