Prediction: HJS vs GrIFK

Team pages: HJS · GrIFK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
HJS2.31
GrIFK1.1
1X2
64% 20% 16%
HJS Draw GrIFK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
HJS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWLDWWWW
GrIFK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DDWWLLLLWL
Head-to-head
HJS 3–1–2 GrIFK (6 last)
  • GrIFK2-2HJS
  • GrIFK2-0HJS
  • HJS3-1GrIFK
  • HJS2-1GrIFK
  • GrIFK2-4HJS
  • HJS1-3GrIFK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1541 · GrIFK 1473
HJSDrawGrIFK
Our model64%21%16%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (rating 1541 vs 1473).
  • H2H favours HJS: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HJSGrIFK
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.11.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.25.2 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 312 GrIFK

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/06/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK2-2
HT 0-1
HJS
01/10/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK2-0
HT 1-0
HJS
08/07/23
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS3-1
HT 1-0
GrIFK
13/08/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS2-1
HT 0-0
GrIFK
22/05/22
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK2-4
HT 2-1
HJS
02/10/21
Finland Kakkonen Group B
HJS1-3
HT 1-1
GrIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Honka 161141 511537
2 AIFK 161132 341436
3 HJS 16943 302131
4 Tampereen Ilves 2 16763 452727
5 P-Iirot 16835 272027
6 EPS 16826 342426
7 GrIFK 16538 192918
8 EBK 163310 234112
9 MuSa 162311 17509
10 NJS 160115 9481

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHJSGrIFK
Tampereen Ilves 2 3-1 W 2-6 L
AIFK 1-0 W 0-1 L
EBK 5-3 W 2-1 W
MuSa 2-1 W 1-3 L
FC Honka 1-1 D 1-2 L
P-Iirot 0-3 L 0-2 L
NJS 3-0 W 2-0 W
EPS 1-3 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HJS (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS

DLDWLDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 34 W
31/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 23 W
24/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-2 5-3 50 W
18/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 2-1 74 W
13/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 53 D
04/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-3 93 L
27/06 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-0 3-0 32 W
12/06 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-2 104 D
06/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-3 25 L
29/05 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 0-0 53 D

GrIFK

DDWWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 46 L
31/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 510 W
25/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-2 16 L
17/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 67 L
14/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 2-6 16 L
09/07 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-3 73 L
03/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 2-0 63 W
27/06 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 3-1 43 W
12/06 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 2-2 54 D
29/05 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 1-1 611 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs GrIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS win (64%). Probabilities: HJS 64%, draw 20%, GrIFK 16%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs GrIFK?

The model expects 3.4 goals (HJS 2.31 · GrIFK 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs GrIFK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.