Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: AIFK vs EPS

Team pages: AIFK · EPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

AIFK2.09

EPS1.2

1X2

57% 22% 21%

AIFK Draw EPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AIFK 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWLW

EPS 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

AIFK 1–0 EPS (1 last)

EPS1-2AIFK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIFK 1558 · EPS 1542

	AIFK	Draw	EPS
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIFK	EPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:33 +3’	1.55	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIFK 1–0–0 EPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	1-2 HT 1-1	AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	16	11	4	1	51	15	37
2	AIFK	16	11	3	2	34	14	36
3	HJS	16	9	4	3	30	21	31
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	16	7	6	3	45	27	27
5	P-Iirot	16	8	3	5	27	20	27
6	EPS	16	8	2	6	34	24	26
7	GrIFK	16	5	3	8	19	29	18
8	EBK	16	3	3	10	23	41	12
9	MuSa	16	2	3	11	17	50	9
10	NJS	16	0	1	15	9	48	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIFK	EPS
MuSa	2-1 W	2-0 W
HJS	0-1 L	3-1 W
NJS	2-1 W	2-1 W
GrIFK	1-0 W	1-3 L
Tampereen Ilves 2	1-1 D	2-4 L
EBK	6-1 W	5-1 W
FC Honka	0-1 L	3-2 W
P-Iirot	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIFK

WWWLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
24/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	6-1	3	4	W
26/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
13/06	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
04/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/05	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	4-2	12	2	W

EPS

DWLLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-4	6	5	L
27/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
13/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
06/06	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
29/05	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIFK vs EPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIFK win (57%). Probabilities: AIFK 57%, draw 22%, EPS 21%.

How many goals are expected in AIFK vs EPS?

The model expects 3.3 goals (AIFK 2.09 · EPS 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AIFK vs EPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.