Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: FC Honka vs P-Iirot

Team pages: FC Honka · P-Iirot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

FC Honka2.72

P-Iirot1.07

1X2

72% 17% 12%

FC Honka Draw P-Iirot

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Honka 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDWLW

P-Iirot 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLDWWW

Head-to-head

FC Honka 2–1 P-Iirot (3 last)

P-Iirot1-5FC Honka
FC Honka2-1P-Iirot
P-Iirot3-2FC Honka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka 1558 · P-Iirot 1513

	FC Honka	Draw	P-Iirot
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (rating 1558 vs 1513).
H2H favours FC Honka: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Honka	P-Iirot
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.7	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +2’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka 2–0–1 P-Iirot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-5 HT 0-1	FC Honka
07/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	2-1 HT 0-0	P-Iirot
06/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Honka

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	16	11	4	1	51	15	37
2	AIFK	16	11	3	2	34	14	36
3	HJS	16	9	4	3	30	21	31
4	Tampereen Ilves 2	16	7	6	3	45	27	27
5	P-Iirot	16	8	3	5	27	20	27
6	EPS	16	8	2	6	34	24	26
7	GrIFK	16	5	3	8	19	29	18
8	EBK	16	3	3	10	23	41	12
9	MuSa	16	2	3	11	17	50	9
10	NJS	16	0	1	15	9	48	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Honka	P-Iirot
NJS	7-0 W	1-0 W
EPS	2-3 L	0-2 L
GrIFK	2-1 W	2-0 W
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-2 D	2-1 W
HJS	1-1 D	3-0 W
MuSa	7-1 W	2-2 D
AIFK	1-0 W	0-2 L
EBK	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Honka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
04/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	7-1	5	3	W
26/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
13/06	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	5-1	8	4	W
09/06	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	1-4	1-7	1	3	L
06/06	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-1	5	7	W

P-Iirot

DLLDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-5	4	4	L
04/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	2	11	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka win (72%). Probabilities: FC Honka 72%, draw 17%, P-Iirot 12%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

The model expects 3.79 goals (FC Honka 2.72 · P-Iirot 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka vs P-Iirot?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.