Prediction: PEPO vs HPS
Expected goals: 3.28 (PEPO 1.91 · HPS 1.37). The model gives 49% home, 23% draw, 27% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, PEPO is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and HPS 6-1-3 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for PEPO and 0 for HPS.
| PEPO | Draw | HPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 22% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PEPO | HPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.2 | 1.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 5.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PEPO 1–0–0 HPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | HPS | 1-2 HT 0-0 | PEPO |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HIFK 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Kiffen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | HPS | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | PEPO | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Atlantis | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 16 |
| 6 | PPJ | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Reipas | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | MyPa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
| 9 | Puiu | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 8 |
| 10 | Union Plaani | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PEPO | HPS |
|---|---|---|
| Atlantis | 1-5 L | 4-3 W |
| PPJ | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| HIFK 2 | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Reipas | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| MyPa | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Union Plaani | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Puiu | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Kiffen | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: HPS (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PEPO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/06 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/05 | SJK Finland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
HPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
4-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PEPO vs HPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PEPO win (49%). Probabilities: PEPO 49%, draw 23%, HPS 27%.
How many goals are expected in PEPO vs HPS?
The model expects 3.28 goals (PEPO 1.91 · HPS 1.37), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PEPO vs HPS?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.