Prediction: Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II
Expected goals: 4.41 (Narpes Kraft 2.04 · FF Jaro II 2.37). The model gives 33% home, 22% draw, 45% away. Under 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
Recent form leaves Narpes Kraft with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; FF Jaro II has piled up 8-0-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Narpes Kraft won 0 and FF Jaro II 1.
| Narpes Kraft | Draw | FF Jaro II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 21% | 46% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FF Jaro II (rating 1493 vs 1563).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Narpes Kraft | FF Jaro II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.7 | 3.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 3.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Narpes Kraft 0–0–1 FF Jaro II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | FF Jaro II | 6-5 HT 5-3 | Narpes Kraft |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FF Jaro II | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 2 | Huima/Urho | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 17 |
| 3 | TP-47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 4 | GBK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | Narpes Kraft | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 13 |
| 6 | VPS-J | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 13 |
| 7 | JBK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | SJK Akatemia II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Vaajakoski | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 10 | JS Hercules | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Narpes Kraft | FF Jaro II |
|---|---|---|
| Huima/Urho | 1-3 L | 1-7 L |
| SJK Akatemia II | 4-0 W | 4-3 W |
| TP-47 | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| JS Hercules | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| GBK | 6-2 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Vaajakoski | 5-4 W | 1-0 W |
| VPS-J | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| JBK | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Narpes Kraft (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Narpes Kraft
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-3 | 5-4 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/04 | Tampere Utd Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | L |
FF Jaro II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-3 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
5-3 | 6-5 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen |
– | 11-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FF Jaro II win (45%). Probabilities: Narpes Kraft 33%, draw 22%, FF Jaro II 45%.
How many goals are expected in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?
The model expects 4.41 goals (Narpes Kraft 2.04 · FF Jaro II 2.37), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Narpes Kraft vs FF Jaro II?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.