Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 08/07, 17:30

Prediction: FF Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia II

Expected goals: 4.46 (FF Jaro II 2.82 · SJK Akatemia II 1.64). The model gives 62% home, 18% draw, 20% away. Under 4.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, FF Jaro II is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SJK Akatemia II 4-1-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, FF Jaro II won 1 and SJK Akatemia II 0.

62%1
62% 18% 20%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro II 1531 · SJK Akatemia II 1475
FF Jaro IIDrawSJK Akatemia II
Our model62%18%20%
Market61%19%20%
Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.46FF Jaro II 2.82 · SJK Akatemia II 1.64
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FF Jaro II (rating 1531 vs 1475).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FF Jaro IISJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 2.81.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 1.50.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.12.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.33.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro II 100 SJK Akatemia II

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
SJK Akatemia II3-4
HT 2-3
FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FF Jaro II 10703 222821
2 GBK 11605 252318
3 Huima/Urho 11524 292317
4 Narpes Kraft 10514 342116
5 VPS-J 11443 282116
6 TP-47 11443 222116
7 JBK 10415 161413
8 SJK Akatemia II 10415 162013
9 FC Vaajakoski 11326 202811
10 JS Hercules 11317 173010

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFF Jaro IISJK Akatemia II
Narpes Kraft 0-8 L 0-4 L
JS Hercules 2-1 W 3-0 W
Huima/Urho 1-7 L 0-1 L
JBK 3-0 W 0-3 L
VPS-J 2-1 W 3-2 W
TP-47 1-3 L 2-2 D
GBK 2-0 W 0-4 L
FC Vaajakoski 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SJK Akatemia II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FF Jaro II

WWWWLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-4 0-8 61 L
14/06 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 2-1 74 W
06/06 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-3 1-7 32 L
29/05 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 65 W
21/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-1 W
16/05 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-3 L
09/05 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-0 95 W
03/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 1-0 W
22/04 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-2 4-3 24 W
17/04 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
5-3 6-5 104 W

SJK Akatemia II

WLDLWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 63 W
12/06 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 55 L
06/06 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-3 0-4 54 L
27/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 44 W
23/05 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-3 0-4 74 L
18/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 3-2 23 W
07/05 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-1 33 L
03/05 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 2-2 63 D
22/04 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-3 3-4 24 L
17/04 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-0 68 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FF Jaro II win (62%). Probabilities: FF Jaro II 62%, draw 18%, SJK Akatemia II 20%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 4.46 goals (FF Jaro II 2.82 · SJK Akatemia II 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.