Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 07/07, 17:30

Prediction: JBK vs Narpes Kraft

Expected goals: 3.98 (JBK 2.2 · Narpes Kraft 1.78). The model gives 47% home, 22% draw, 31% away. Over 3.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, JBK is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Narpes Kraft 5-1-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for JBK and 1 for Narpes Kraft.

47%1
47% 22% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JBK 1500 · Narpes Kraft 1505
JBKDrawNarpes Kraft
Our model47%22%31%
Market47%22%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.98JBK 2.2 · Narpes Kraft 1.78
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 50%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours JBK: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JBKNarpes Kraft
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.42.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.81.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.92.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.52.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · JBK 501 Narpes Kraft

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft0-1
HT 0-0
JBK
10/07/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft0-2
HT 0-1
JBK
12/05/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK4-1
HT 1-0
Narpes Kraft
07/09/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK3-2
HT 1-1
Narpes Kraft
03/07/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
JBK2-4
HT 1-3
Narpes Kraft
28/04/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
Narpes Kraft1-5
HT 0-3
JBK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FF Jaro II 10703 222821
2 GBK 11605 252318
3 Huima/Urho 11524 292317
4 Narpes Kraft 10514 342116
5 VPS-J 11443 282116
6 TP-47 11443 222116
7 JBK 10415 161413
8 SJK Akatemia II 10415 162013
9 FC Vaajakoski 11326 202811
10 JS Hercules 11317 173010

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJBKNarpes Kraft
Huima/Urho 2-3 L 1-3 L
SJK Akatemia II 3-0 W 4-0 W
TP-47 1-1 D 1-2 L
FF Jaro II 0-3 L 8-0 W
FC Vaajakoski 2-3 L 5-4 W
JS Hercules 3-0 W 2-1 W
VPS-J 1-2 L 2-2 D
GBK 1-2 L 6-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Narpes Kraft (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JBK

WWLLWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-2 2-3 L
12/06 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-0 3-0 55 W
06/06 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 35 D
29/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-2 0-3 35 L
23/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-3 33 L
16/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 3-0 W
08/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 74 L
04/05 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 45 L
25/04 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 1-0 64 W
19/04 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-0 88 W

Narpes Kraft

LLDWWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
4-0 8-0 31 W
14/06 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-3 85 L
06/06 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-0 4-0 14 W
31/05 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-2 20 L
23/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-1 95 W
17/05 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-1 6-2 W
09/05 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-3 5-4 24 W
03/05 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-2 33 D
29/04 Tampere Utd
Finland Cup
0-3 0-6 L
25/04 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-1 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JBK vs Narpes Kraft?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JBK win (47%). Probabilities: JBK 47%, draw 22%, Narpes Kraft 31%.

How many goals are expected in JBK vs Narpes Kraft?

The model expects 3.98 goals (JBK 2.2 · Narpes Kraft 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JBK vs Narpes Kraft?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.