Prediction: Huima/Urho vs JS Hercules
Expected goals: 4.7 (Huima/Urho 3.35 · JS Hercules 1.35). The model gives 78% home, 12% draw, 10% away. Under 4.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves Huima/Urho with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; JS Hercules has piled up 1-1-8 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Huima/Urho and 1 for JS Hercules.
| Huima/Urho | Draw | JS Hercules | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 80% | 11% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1519 vs 1401).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huima/Urho | JS Hercules | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.1 | 0.8 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.6 | 1.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 0–0–1 JS Hercules
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Huima/Urho |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FF Jaro II | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 31 | 21 |
| 2 | GBK | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 18 |
| 3 | Huima/Urho | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 17 |
| 4 | Narpes Kraft | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 16 |
| 5 | VPS-J | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 16 |
| 6 | JBK | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | TP-47 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 16 |
| 8 | SJK Akatemia II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Vaajakoski | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 11 |
| 10 | JS Hercules | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huima/Urho | JS Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| VPS-J | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| JBK | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Narpes Kraft | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FF Jaro II | 7-1 W | 1-2 L |
| GBK | 1-2 L | 0-7 L |
| TP-47 | 4-4 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Vaajakoski | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| SJK Akatemia II | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Huima/Urho (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huima/Urho
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 28/04 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
JS Hercules
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-5 | 0-7 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | FC Inter Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huima/Urho vs JS Hercules?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Huima/Urho win (78%). Probabilities: Huima/Urho 78%, draw 12%, JS Hercules 10%.
How many goals are expected in Huima/Urho vs JS Hercules?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Huima/Urho 3.35 · JS Hercules 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Huima/Urho vs JS Hercules?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.