Prediction: TP-47 vs GBK

Expected goals: 3.89 (TP-47 2.1 · GBK 1.79). The model gives 45% home, 22% draw, 33% away. Under 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, TP-47 is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and GBK 5-0-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for TP-47 and 3 for GBK, with 2 draws.

45%1
45% 22% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-47 1509 · GBK 1520
TP-47DrawGBK
Our model45%22%33%
Market45%22%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.89TP-47 2.1 · GBK 1.79
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours GBK: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TP-47GBK
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.72.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 11.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 52.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-47 123 GBK

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group C
GBK0-2
HT 0-1
TP-47
13/09/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
TP-472-2
HT 1-0
GBK
16/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
TP-472-3
HT 1-3
GBK
15/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group C
GBK3-3
HT 1-3
TP-47
24/08/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
GBK7-1
HT 1-1
TP-47
15/06/24
Finland Kakkonen Group C
GBK2-1
HT 1-0
TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FF Jaro II 9702 222021
2 Huima/Urho 10523 282017
3 TP-47 10442 191716
4 GBK 10505 212015
5 Narpes Kraft 9414 262113
6 VPS-J 10343 252013
7 JBK 10415 161413
8 SJK Akatemia II 10415 162013
9 FC Vaajakoski 10316 182610
10 JS Hercules 10307 15289

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTP-47GBK
VPS-J 0-3 L 4-3 W
FC Vaajakoski 2-3 L 0-1 L
JBK 1-1 D 2-1 W
Narpes Kraft 2-1 W 2-6 L
Huima/Urho 4-4 D 2-1 W
FF Jaro II 3-1 W 0-2 L
JS Hercules 2-1 W 7-0 W
SJK Akatemia II 2-2 D 4-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-47

DWDWWDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-3 62 L
14/06 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-2 2-3 17 L
06/06 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 45 D
31/05 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-1 20 W
23/05 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
2-3 4-4 84 D
16/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 3-1 W
09/05 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-1 81 W
03/05 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-2 113 D
25/04 GBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-0 2-0 45 W
19/04 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 1-1 17 D

GBK

LLWLLWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 JS Hercules
Finland Kakkonen Group C
5-0 7-0 62 W
14/06 VPS-J
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 4-3 31 W
06/06 FC Vaajakoski
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 0-1 53 L
29/05 Huima/Urho
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-0 2-1 85 W
23/05 SJK Akatemia II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
3-0 4-0 74 W
17/05 Narpes Kraft
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-3 2-6 L
09/05 FF Jaro II
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-2 65 L
04/05 JBK
Finland Kakkonen Group C
1-1 2-1 75 W
28/04 FF Jaro
Finland Cup
0-1 0-2 55 L
25/04 TP-47
Finland Kakkonen Group C
0-1 0-2 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-47 vs GBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-47 win (45%). Probabilities: TP-47 45%, draw 22%, GBK 33%.

How many goals are expected in TP-47 vs GBK?

The model expects 3.89 goals (TP-47 2.1 · GBK 1.79), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-47 vs GBK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.