Prediction: JS Hercules vs FC Vaajakoski
Expected goals: 4.38 (JS Hercules 2.15 · FC Vaajakoski 2.22). The model gives 38% home, 22% draw, 40% away. Under 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
Over its last 10 matches, JS Hercules sits at 2-0-8 (W-D-L), while FC Vaajakoski arrives on a 3-1-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, JS Hercules won 3 and FC Vaajakoski 2, with 1 draw.
| JS Hercules | Draw | FC Vaajakoski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 21% | 41% |
| Market | 37% | 23% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vaajakoski (rating 1424 vs 1466).
- H2H favours JS Hercules: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JS Hercules | FC Vaajakoski | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Hercules 3–1–2 FC Vaajakoski
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | FC Vaajakoski | 3-5 HT 2-2 | JS Hercules |
| 19/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 1-5 HT 1-3 | FC Vaajakoski |
| 26/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C | FC Vaajakoski | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JS Hercules |
| 27/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Vaajakoski |
| 11/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group C | FC Vaajakoski | 0-1 HT 0-0 | JS Hercules |
| 31/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Vaajakoski |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FF Jaro II | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 2 | Huima/Urho | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 17 |
| 3 | TP-47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 4 | GBK | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | Narpes Kraft | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 13 |
| 6 | VPS-J | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 13 |
| 7 | JBK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | SJK Akatemia II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Vaajakoski | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
| 10 | JS Hercules | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JS Hercules | FC Vaajakoski |
|---|---|---|
| GBK | 0-7 L | 1-0 W |
| FF Jaro II | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| VPS-J | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| SJK Akatemia II | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Narpes Kraft | 1-2 L | 4-5 L |
| JBK | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| TP-47 | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Huima/Urho | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Vaajakoski (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JS Hercules
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-5 | 0-7 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | FC Inter Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 29/04 | Virkia Finland Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
FC Vaajakoski
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JS Hercules vs FC Vaajakoski?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Vaajakoski win (40%). Probabilities: JS Hercules 38%, draw 22%, FC Vaajakoski 40%.
How many goals are expected in JS Hercules vs FC Vaajakoski?
The model expects 4.38 goals (JS Hercules 2.15 · FC Vaajakoski 2.22), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JS Hercules vs FC Vaajakoski?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.