Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 09/10, 20:45
Prediction: Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
Team pages: Shelbourne · Sligo Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Shelbourne1.94
Sligo Rovers0.69
1X2
Shelbourne
Draw
Sligo Rovers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Shelbourne
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sligo Rovers
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shelbourne
4–2–0
Sligo Rovers
(6 last)
- Sligo Rovers2-2Shelbourne
- Shelbourne0-0Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers0-1Shelbourne
- Shelbourne3-1Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers0-2Shelbourne
- Shelbourne3-2Sligo Rovers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shelbourne 1482 · Sligo Rovers 1404
| Shelbourne | Draw | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (rating 1482 vs 1404).
- H2H favours Shelbourne: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne 4–2–0 Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Shelbourne |
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 21/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sligo Rovers |
| 02/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne |
| 23/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Sligo Rovers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shelbourne | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Galway United | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Dundalk | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Drogheda United | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Derry City | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| St Patricks | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Waterford FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shelbourne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | D |
Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne win (66%). Probabilities: Shelbourne 66%, draw 23%, Sligo Rovers 11%.
How many goals are expected in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Shelbourne 1.94 · Sligo Rovers 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.