Prediction: MyPa vs Union Plaani

Expected goals: 3.75 (MyPa 2.16 · Union Plaani 1.59). The model gives 50% home, 22% draw, 28% away. Under 4 goals (56%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, MyPa is 0-3-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Union Plaani 1-2-7 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, MyPa won 3 and Union Plaani 0.

50%1
50% 22% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MyPa 1412 · Union Plaani 1411
MyPaDrawUnion Plaani
Our model50%22%28%
Market50%22%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.75MyPa 2.16 · Union Plaani 1.59
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 56%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MyPa: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MyPaUnion Plaani
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 3.31.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.60.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.12.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 03.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · MyPa 300 Union Plaani

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani1-3
HT 0-0
MyPa
09/09/23
Finland Kolmonen
MyPa7-0
HT 4-0
Union Plaani
27/04/22
Finland Kolmonen
MyPa3-1
HT 0-1
Union Plaani

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 HIFK 2 11722 251223
2 Kiffen 11713 241822
3 HPS 11623 231720
4 PEPO 11542 181619
5 Atlantis 11515 312316
6 PPJ 11371 221416
7 Reipas 11515 242016
8 MyPa 11227 10238
9 Puiu 11227 10248
10 Union Plaani 11128 11315

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMyPaUnion Plaani
HIFK 2 0-4 L 0-3 L
Atlantis 1-2 L 1-5 L
Puiu 1-1 D 2-1 W
PPJ 1-3 L 2-2 D
PEPO 0-0 D 1-1 D
Kiffen 1-3 L 0-2 L
Reipas 0-5 L 2-4 L
HPS 1-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 6 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Union Plaani (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MyPa

LDLLLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-4 67 L
27/06 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 1-2 76 L
13/06 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-1 24 D
06/06 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 1-3 59 L
29/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 54 D
26/05 HJK Helsinki
Finland Cup
0-6 1-11 11 L
23/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-3 55 L
16/05 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-4 0-5 26 L
13/05 KaPa
Finland Cup
1-0 1-1 22 D
09/05 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 1-3 610 L

Union Plaani

LLLDDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-1 124 W
27/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 L
13/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-4 L
06/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 94 L
29/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-2 44 L
23/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-2 64 D
08/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-5 11 L
02/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-3 L
28/04 FC Lahti
Finland Cup
1-1 2-4 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MyPa win (50%). Probabilities: MyPa 50%, draw 22%, Union Plaani 28%.

How many goals are expected in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

The model expects 3.75 goals (MyPa 2.16 · Union Plaani 1.59), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in MyPa vs Union Plaani?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.