Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: Perth SC vs Bayswater City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Perth SC2.18

Bayswater City2.03

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Perth SC Draw Bayswater City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

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Bayswater City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth SC 1–2–3 Bayswater City (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC 1559 · Bayswater City 1546

	Perth SC	Draw	Bayswater City
Our model	42%	21%	36%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bayswater City: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC	Bayswater City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.8	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +1’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC 1–2–3 Bayswater City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	3-2 HT 2-1	Perth SC
23/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	2-3 HT 1-1	Perth SC
23/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Bayswater City
10/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	4-1 HT 2-0	Perth SC
17/05/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	3-3 HT 1-0	Bayswater City
26/08/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Bayswater City	3-3 HT 3-2	Perth SC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth RedStar FC	18	11	4	3	29	23	37
2	Olympic Kingsway	18	11	3	4	40	25	36
3	Bayswater City	17	10	4	3	42	23	34
4	Fremantle City FC	19	8	7	4	38	27	31
5	Perth SC	18	8	7	3	43	34	31
6	Stirling Macedonia	18	7	2	9	32	29	23
7	Western Knights	18	6	5	7	34	33	23
8	Dianella White Eagles	18	5	5	8	28	34	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Armadale	18	4	4	10	33	47	16
11	Perth Glory NPL	18	3	5	10	30	38	14
12	Balcatta	18	4	2	12	26	49	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC	Bayswater City
Western Knights	3-3 D	4-4 D
Dianella White Eagles	2-2 D	4-3 W
Armadale	4-1 W	5-0 W
Perth Glory NPL	4-2 W	0-1 L
Stirling Macedonia	3-3 D	2-1 W
Perth RedStar FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Sorrento	2-1 W	2-1 W
Fremantle City FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bayswater City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	3	D
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D
30/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	3	W
22/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
08/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D

Bayswater City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Sydney FC Australia Cup	1-2	1-5	6	2	L
04/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
26/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	6	1	W
20/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-4	3	5	D
16/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	3-2	6	1	W
13/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	1	W
05/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	4-3	1	5	W
30/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
23/05	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
16/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC vs Bayswater City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC win (41%). Probabilities: Perth SC 41%, draw 23%, Bayswater City 36%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC vs Bayswater City?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Perth SC 2.18 · Bayswater City 2.03), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC vs Bayswater City?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.