Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 25/07, 09:00
Prediction: Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Western Knights1.7
Olympic Kingsway2.16
1X2
Western Knights
Draw
Olympic Kingsway
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Western Knights
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Olympic Kingsway
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western Knights
0–1–5
Olympic Kingsway
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western Knights 1465 · Olympic Kingsway 1546
| Western Knights | Draw | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympic Kingsway (rating 1465 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Olympic Kingsway: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Knights | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.1 | 2.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Knights 0–1–5 Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Western Knights |
| 12/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Western Knights | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 19/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Western Knights |
| 20/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Western Knights |
| 28/05/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Olympic Kingsway | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Western Knights |
| 20/04/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Western Knights | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Olympic Kingsway |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth RedStar FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Olympic Kingsway | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 36 |
| 3 | Bayswater City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 4 | Fremantle City FC | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Perth SC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 29 | 23 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 23 |
| 8 | Dianella White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 20 |
| 9 | Sorrento | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Armadale | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 47 | 16 |
| 11 | Perth Glory NPL | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Knights | Olympic Kingsway |
|---|---|---|
| Sorrento | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Fremantle City FC | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Dianella White Eagles | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Perth RedStar FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Balcatta | 0-0 D | 5-4 W |
| Stirling Macedonia | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Perth Glory NPL | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympic Kingsway (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-2 | 5-4 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olympic Kingsway win (47%). Probabilities: Western Knights 29%, draw 23%, Olympic Kingsway 47%.
How many goals are expected in Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Western Knights 1.7 · Olympic Kingsway 2.16), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.