Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Perth RedStar FC2.08

Balcatta1.27

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Perth RedStar FC Draw Balcatta

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth RedStar FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWLWWL

Balcatta 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Perth RedStar FC 5–1–0 Balcatta (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth RedStar FC 1539 · Balcatta 1464

	Perth RedStar FC	Draw	Balcatta
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth RedStar FC (rating 1539 vs 1464).
H2H favours Perth RedStar FC: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth RedStar FC	Balcatta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +19’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth RedStar FC 5–1–0 Balcatta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Balcatta	2-4 HT 0-2	Perth RedStar FC
19/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Balcatta	1-1 HT 0-1	Perth RedStar FC
07/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Balcatta
22/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Balcatta	1-3 HT 1-2	Perth RedStar FC
23/03/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Balcatta
12/08/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Balcatta

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth RedStar FC	18	11	4	3	29	23	37
2	Olympic Kingsway	18	11	3	4	40	25	36
3	Bayswater City	17	10	4	3	42	23	34
4	Fremantle City FC	19	8	7	4	38	27	31
5	Perth SC	18	8	7	3	43	34	31
6	Stirling Macedonia	18	7	2	9	32	29	23
7	Western Knights	18	6	5	7	34	33	23
8	Dianella White Eagles	18	5	5	8	28	34	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Armadale	18	4	4	10	33	47	16
11	Perth Glory NPL	18	3	5	10	30	38	14
12	Balcatta	18	4	2	12	26	49	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth RedStar FC	Balcatta
Fremantle City FC	0-3 L	2-5 L
Olympic Kingsway	2-1 W	4-5 L
Stirling Macedonia	1-0 W	2-0 W
Perth Glory NPL	2-1 W	3-1 W
Western Knights	2-1 W	0-0 D
Perth SC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Armadale	1-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Perth RedStar FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth RedStar FC

WDDWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
16/06	Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W
30/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
16/05	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Balcatta

LWDLLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/07	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
27/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-3	4-5	5	0	L
20/06	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
13/06	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	2-5	6	2	L
06/06	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
30/05	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
23/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
16/05	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
09/05	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-5	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth RedStar FC win (55%). Probabilities: Perth RedStar FC 55%, draw 23%, Balcatta 22%.

How many goals are expected in Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Perth RedStar FC 2.08 · Balcatta 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.