Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 25/07, 09:00
Prediction: Stirling Macedonia vs Armadale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Stirling Macedonia2.27
Armadale1.69
1X2
Stirling Macedonia
Draw
Armadale
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stirling Macedonia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Armadale
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stirling Macedonia
4–2
Armadale
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stirling Macedonia 1477 · Armadale 1465
| Stirling Macedonia | Draw | Armadale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 50% | 22% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stirling Macedonia: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stirling Macedonia | Armadale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 3.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling Macedonia 4–0–2 Armadale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 15/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 6-0 HT 4-0 | Armadale |
| 31/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 1-6 HT 1-0 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 24/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 4-5 HT 1-3 | Armadale |
| 01/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 08/07/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Armadale |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth RedStar FC | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Olympic Kingsway | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 36 |
| 3 | Bayswater City | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 4 | Fremantle City FC | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Perth SC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 29 | 23 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 23 |
| 8 | Dianella White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 20 |
| 9 | Sorrento | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Armadale | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 47 | 16 |
| 11 | Perth Glory NPL | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 14 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stirling Macedonia | Armadale |
|---|---|---|
| Balcatta | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Perth RedStar FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Perth Glory NPL | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Olympic Kingsway | 3-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Sorrento | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Perth SC | 3-3 D | 1-4 L |
| Bayswater City | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Dianella White Eagles | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stirling Macedonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
Armadale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stirling Macedonia vs Armadale?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stirling Macedonia win (50%). Probabilities: Stirling Macedonia 50%, draw 22%, Armadale 28%.
How many goals are expected in Stirling Macedonia vs Armadale?
The model expects 3.96 goals (Stirling Macedonia 2.27 · Armadale 1.69), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stirling Macedonia vs Armadale?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.