Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 15/08, 09:00

Prediction: Perth SC vs Perth RedStar FC

Team pages: Perth SC · Perth RedStar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Perth SC1.7

Perth RedStar FC1.55

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Perth SC Draw Perth RedStar FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWDDLD

Perth RedStar FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Perth SC 3–1–2 Perth RedStar FC (6 last)

Perth RedStar FC1-1Perth SC
Perth SC1-2Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC0-1Perth SC
Perth SC2-0Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC4-5Perth SC
Perth SC1-4Perth RedStar FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC 1531 · Perth RedStar FC 1501

	Perth SC	Draw	Perth RedStar FC
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Perth SC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC	Perth RedStar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	3.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.29
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.00 ★
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:35 +4’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:51	2.21	4.00	2.57
11:16 +1’	2.29▲	4.00	2.47▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC 3–1–2 Perth RedStar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Perth SC
19/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-2 HT 1-0	Perth RedStar FC
26/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Perth SC
24/01/25 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	2-0 HT 2-0	Perth RedStar FC
24/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	4-5 HT 1-4	Perth SC
01/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-4 HT 0-2	Perth RedStar FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	20	12	5	3	52	25	41
2	Olympic Kingsway	20	12	4	4	43	27	40
3	Perth RedStar FC	20	11	5	4	29	24	38
4	Fremantle City FC	20	8	8	4	40	29	32
5	Perth SC	20	8	8	4	45	38	32
6	Stirling Macedonia	20	8	3	9	35	31	27
7	Western Knights	20	6	6	8	37	37	24
8	Sorrento	20	7	2	11	20	38	23
9	Dianella White Eagles	20	5	5	10	29	40	20
10	Perth Glory NPL	20	4	6	10	36	40	18
11	Armadale	20	4	6	10	37	51	18
12	Balcatta	20	4	4	12	29	52	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC	Perth RedStar FC
Fremantle City FC	2-2 D	0-3 L
Bayswater City	0-2 L	0-3 L
Western Knights	3-3 D	2-1 W
Balcatta	1-1 D	0-0 D
Perth Glory NPL	4-2 W	2-1 W
Stirling Macedonia	3-3 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth SC

DWDWDWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
25/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	3	D
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D
30/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	3	W
22/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	3	D

Perth RedStar FC

DWLWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
18/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
16/06	Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W
30/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-2	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC vs Perth RedStar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC win (41%). Probabilities: Perth SC 41%, draw 25%, Perth RedStar FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Perth SC 1.7 · Perth RedStar FC 1.55), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.