Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Perth SC vs Sorrento

Team pages: Perth SC · Sorrento

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Perth SC2.64

Sorrento1.08

1X2

70% 17% 13%

Perth SC Draw Sorrento

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDDLDW

Sorrento 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Perth SC 4–1–1 Sorrento (6 last)

Sorrento1-2Perth SC
Perth SC1-3Sorrento
Sorrento0-3Perth SC
Perth SC1-1Sorrento
Sorrento2-3Perth SC
Perth SC1-0Sorrento

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC 1553 · Sorrento 1453

	Perth SC	Draw	Sorrento
Our model	70%	18%	13%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (rating 1553 vs 1453).
H2H favours Perth SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC	Sorrento
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 2.1	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:53 +5’	1.28	5.25	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC 4–1–1 Sorrento

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Sorrento	1-2 HT 0-1	Perth SC
05/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-3 HT 1-2	Sorrento
05/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Sorrento	0-3 HT 0-2	Perth SC
08/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Sorrento
17/06/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Sorrento	2-3 HT 1-1	Perth SC
25/03/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Sorrento

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	21	13	5	3	58	27	44
2	Olympic Kingsway	21	12	5	4	44	28	41
3	Perth RedStar FC	21	11	5	5	31	29	38
4	Perth SC	21	9	8	4	50	40	35
5	Fremantle City FC	21	8	8	5	43	34	32
6	Stirling Macedonia	21	8	3	10	37	37	27
7	Western Knights	21	6	7	8	37	37	25
8	Sorrento	21	7	3	11	21	39	24
9	Perth Glory NPL	21	5	6	10	41	43	21
10	Armadale	21	5	6	10	40	52	21
11	Dianella White Eagles	21	5	5	11	30	43	20
12	Balcatta	21	4	5	12	29	52	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC	Sorrento
Perth RedStar FC	5-2 W	1-0 W
Fremantle City FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Bayswater City	0-2 L	1-7 L
Western Knights	3-3 D	0-2 L
Dianella White Eagles	2-2 D	1-2 L
Armadale	4-1 W	0-3 L
Balcatta	1-1 D	3-0 W
Stirling Macedonia	3-3 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth SC

WDWDWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	4-1	5-2	2	2	W
01/08	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
25/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	3	D
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D
30/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	3	W

Sorrento

LWWLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
08/08	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	1-7	6	1	L
01/08	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
11/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
04/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
27/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
13/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
30/05	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC vs Sorrento?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC win (70%). Probabilities: Perth SC 70%, draw 17%, Sorrento 13%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC vs Sorrento?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Perth SC 2.64 · Sorrento 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC vs Sorrento?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.