Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City FC

Team pages: Olympic Kingsway · Fremantle City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Olympic Kingsway2.28

Fremantle City FC1.5

1X2

54% 22% 24%

Olympic Kingsway Draw Fremantle City FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Olympic Kingsway 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWDD

Fremantle City FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Olympic Kingsway 3–1–2 Fremantle City FC (6 last)

Fremantle City FC3-1Olympic Kingsway
Fremantle City FC2-2Olympic Kingsway
Fremantle City FC1-3Olympic Kingsway
Olympic Kingsway4-2Fremantle City FC
Olympic Kingsway2-0Fremantle City FC
Fremantle City FC4-2Olympic Kingsway

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olympic Kingsway 1536 · Fremantle City FC 1561

	Olympic Kingsway	Draw	Fremantle City FC
Our model	54%	21%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Olympic Kingsway: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olympic Kingsway	Fremantle City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:54 +3’	1.67	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympic Kingsway 3–1–2 Fremantle City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Fremantle City FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Olympic Kingsway
16/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Olympic Kingsway
09/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Olympic Kingsway
07/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Olympic Kingsway	4-2 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC
24/01/25 Australia Friendlies	Olympic Kingsway	2-0 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC
29/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	4-2 HT 2-1	Olympic Kingsway

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	21	13	5	3	58	27	44
2	Olympic Kingsway	21	12	5	4	44	28	41
3	Perth RedStar FC	21	11	5	5	31	29	38
4	Perth SC	21	9	8	4	50	40	35
5	Fremantle City FC	21	8	8	5	43	34	32
6	Stirling Macedonia	21	8	3	10	37	37	27
7	Western Knights	21	6	7	8	37	37	25
8	Sorrento	21	7	3	11	21	39	24
9	Perth Glory NPL	21	5	6	10	41	43	21
10	Armadale	21	5	6	10	40	52	21
11	Dianella White Eagles	21	5	5	11	30	43	20
12	Balcatta	21	4	5	12	29	52	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olympic Kingsway	Fremantle City FC
Sorrento	1-1 D	2-0 W
Bayswater City	1-1 D	1-1 D
Western Knights	2-1 W	3-0 W
Dianella White Eagles	3-0 W	1-0 W
Perth RedStar FC	1-2 L	3-0 W
Perth Glory NPL	2-1 W	3-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Olympic Kingsway

WLLWWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	10	1	D
01/08	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
25/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
18/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
11/07	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
04/07	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	6-1	1	2	W
27/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	3-2	5-4	7	0	W
20/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	6	L
16/06	Fremantle City FC Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	1-3	5	1	L
06/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	2-1	1	5	W

Fremantle City FC

WWWDWWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-3	3-5	7	2	L
09/08	South Melbourne Australia Cup	2-2	3-3	2	3	D
01/08	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	8	D
22/07	Maitland FC Australia Cup	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
18/07	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
04/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	11	0	D
27/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympic Kingsway win (54%). Probabilities: Olympic Kingsway 54%, draw 22%, Fremantle City FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City FC?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Olympic Kingsway 2.28 · Fremantle City FC 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.