Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Armadale vs Perth RedStar FC

Team pages: Armadale · Perth RedStar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Armadale1.6

Perth RedStar FC1.76

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Armadale Draw Perth RedStar FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Armadale 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLDDDW

Perth RedStar FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Armadale 0–1–5 Perth RedStar FC (6 last)

Perth RedStar FC1-0Armadale
Armadale1-4Perth RedStar FC
Armadale1-2Perth RedStar FC
Armadale0-2Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC1-1Armadale
Perth RedStar FC3-1Armadale

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Armadale 1467 · Perth RedStar FC 1515

	Armadale	Draw	Perth RedStar FC
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth RedStar FC (rating 1467 vs 1515).
H2H favours Perth RedStar FC: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Armadale	Perth RedStar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.5	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 5.6	3.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.3	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:55 +2’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Armadale 0–1–5 Perth RedStar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Armadale
11/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Armadale	1-4 HT 1-0	Perth RedStar FC
23/01/26 Australia Friendlies	Armadale	1-2 HT 1-2	Perth RedStar FC
21/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Armadale	0-2 HT 0-1	Perth RedStar FC
22/03/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Armadale
29/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Armadale

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	21	13	5	3	58	27	44
2	Olympic Kingsway	21	12	5	4	44	28	41
3	Perth RedStar FC	21	11	5	5	31	29	38
4	Perth SC	21	9	8	4	50	40	35
5	Fremantle City FC	21	8	8	5	43	34	32
6	Stirling Macedonia	21	8	3	10	37	37	27
7	Western Knights	21	6	7	8	37	37	25
8	Sorrento	21	7	3	11	21	39	24
9	Perth Glory NPL	21	5	6	10	41	43	21
10	Armadale	21	5	6	10	40	52	21
11	Dianella White Eagles	21	5	5	11	30	43	20
12	Balcatta	21	4	5	12	29	52	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Armadale	Perth RedStar FC
Balcatta	3-3 D	0-0 D
Stirling Macedonia	1-1 D	1-0 W
Perth Glory NPL	2-2 D	2-1 W
Olympic Kingsway	1-6 L	2-1 W
Perth SC	1-4 L	2-5 L
Sorrento	3-0 W	0-1 L
Bayswater City	0-5 L	0-3 L
Fremantle City FC	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Perth RedStar FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Armadale

WWLWLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
01/08	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-3	8	1	D
25/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
04/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-6	8	2	L
27/06	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
20/06	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
13/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-5	3	1	L
06/06	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
30/05	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-2	10	2	W

Perth RedStar FC

WLWLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-4	2-5	6	2	L
01/08	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
18/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
16/06	Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Armadale vs Perth RedStar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth RedStar FC win (41%). Probabilities: Armadale 34%, draw 25%, Perth RedStar FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Armadale vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Armadale 1.6 · Perth RedStar FC 1.76), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Armadale vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.