Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 15/08, 09:00
Prediction: Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento
Team pages: Olympic Kingsway · Sorrento
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Olympic Kingsway2.65
Sorrento1.04
1X2
Olympic Kingsway
Draw
Sorrento
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olympic Kingsway
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Sorrento
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olympic Kingsway
4–2
Sorrento
(6 last)
- Sorrento1-4Olympic Kingsway
- Olympic Kingsway3-1Sorrento
- Olympic Kingsway0-2Sorrento
- Sorrento0-2Olympic Kingsway
- Olympic Kingsway0-1Sorrento
- Sorrento0-2Olympic Kingsway
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olympic Kingsway 1559 · Sorrento 1441
| Olympic Kingsway | Draw | Sorrento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympic Kingsway (rating 1559 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Olympic Kingsway: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympic Kingsway | Sorrento | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympic Kingsway 4–0–2 Sorrento
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Sorrento | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 01/02/26 Australia Friendlies | Olympic Kingsway | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sorrento |
| 21/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sorrento |
| 22/03/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Sorrento | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 19/08/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sorrento |
| 06/05/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Sorrento | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayswater City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 25 | 41 |
| 2 | Olympic Kingsway | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | Perth RedStar FC | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Fremantle City FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 5 | Perth SC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 38 | 32 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Sorrento | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 38 | 23 |
| 9 | Dianella White Eagles | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 20 |
| 10 | Perth Glory NPL | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | Armadale | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 51 | 18 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olympic Kingsway | Sorrento |
|---|---|---|
| Bayswater City | 1-1 D | 1-7 L |
| Western Knights | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Dianella White Eagles | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Perth RedStar FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Armadale | 6-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Balcatta | 5-4 W | 3-0 W |
| Stirling Macedonia | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Fremantle City FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympic Kingsway (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-2 | 5-4 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Sorrento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-7 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympic Kingsway win (71%). Probabilities: Olympic Kingsway 71%, draw 17%, Sorrento 12%.
How many goals are expected in Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Olympic Kingsway 2.65 · Sorrento 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.