Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 15/08, 09:00

Prediction: Perth Glory NPL vs Fremantle City FC

Team pages: Perth Glory NPL · Fremantle City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Perth Glory NPL1.81

Fremantle City FC2.17

1X2

32% 23% 45%

Perth Glory NPL Draw Fremantle City FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Perth Glory NPL 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Fremantle City FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth Glory NPL 2–1–3 Fremantle City FC (6 last)

Fremantle City FC4-3Perth Glory NPL
Fremantle City FC1-2Perth Glory NPL
Perth Glory NPL5-0Fremantle City FC
Fremantle City FC2-2Perth Glory NPL
Perth Glory NPL0-1Fremantle City FC
Fremantle City FC2-1Perth Glory NPL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth Glory NPL 1439 · Fremantle City FC 1589

	Perth Glory NPL	Draw	Fremantle City FC
Our model	32%	22%	46%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fremantle City FC (rating 1439 vs 1589).
H2H favours Fremantle City FC: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth Glory NPL	Fremantle City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.3	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.6	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	2.00 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.14

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:18 +20’	2.88	3.80	2.00
11:14 +3’	2.70▼	3.90▲	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:51	2.98	3.93	1.99
11:16	2.68▼	3.98▲	2.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Glory NPL 2–1–3 Fremantle City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	4-3 HT 2-2	Perth Glory NPL
14/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Perth Glory NPL
15/03/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth Glory NPL	5-0 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC
08/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Fremantle City FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Perth Glory NPL
27/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth Glory NPL	0-1 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC
04/05/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Perth Glory NPL

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	20	12	5	3	52	25	41
2	Olympic Kingsway	20	12	4	4	43	27	40
3	Perth RedStar FC	20	11	5	4	29	24	38
4	Fremantle City FC	20	8	8	4	40	29	32
5	Perth SC	20	8	8	4	45	38	32
6	Stirling Macedonia	20	8	3	9	35	31	27
7	Western Knights	20	6	6	8	37	37	24
8	Sorrento	20	7	2	11	20	38	23
9	Dianella White Eagles	20	5	5	10	29	40	20
10	Perth Glory NPL	20	4	6	10	36	40	18
11	Armadale	20	4	6	10	37	51	18
12	Balcatta	20	4	4	12	29	52	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth Glory NPL	Fremantle City FC
Western Knights	2-2 D	3-0 W
Dianella White Eagles	4-0 W	1-0 W
Balcatta	1-3 L	5-2 W
Perth RedStar FC	1-2 L	3-0 W
Perth SC	2-4 L	2-2 D
Olympic Kingsway	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Perth Glory NPL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-2	4	0	D
25/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
18/07	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
04/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
27/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
20/06	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
13/06	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-1	2-4	1	0	L
06/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	1-2	3	5	L
30/05	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
23/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	3-4	1	2	L

Fremantle City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	South Melbourne Australia Cup	2-2	3-3	2	3	D
01/08	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	8	D
22/07	Maitland FC Australia Cup	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
18/07	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
04/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	11	0	D
27/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
13/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	3-1	5-2	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth Glory NPL vs Fremantle City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fremantle City FC win (45%). Probabilities: Perth Glory NPL 32%, draw 23%, Fremantle City FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Perth Glory NPL vs Fremantle City FC?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Perth Glory NPL 1.81 · Fremantle City FC 2.17), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth Glory NPL vs Fremantle City FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.