Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 14/08, 13:00
Prediction: Bayswater City vs Stirling Macedonia
Team pages: Bayswater City · Stirling Macedonia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Bayswater City2.05
Stirling Macedonia1.27
1X2
Bayswater City
Draw
Stirling Macedonia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bayswater City
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Stirling Macedonia
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayswater City
3–2–1
Stirling Macedonia
(6 last)
- Stirling Macedonia1-2Bayswater City
- Bayswater City1-1Stirling Macedonia
- Stirling Macedonia0-3Bayswater City
- Bayswater City1-4Stirling Macedonia
- Stirling Macedonia0-2Bayswater City
- Bayswater City2-2Stirling Macedonia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayswater City 1582 · Stirling Macedonia 1490
| Bayswater City | Draw | Stirling Macedonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayswater City (rating 1582 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Bayswater City: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayswater City | Stirling Macedonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 3.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayswater City 3–2–1 Stirling Macedonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Bayswater City |
| 19/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 07/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bayswater City |
| 29/06/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Stirling Macedonia |
| 30/03/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Stirling Macedonia | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bayswater City |
| 12/08/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Stirling Macedonia |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayswater City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 25 | 41 |
| 2 | Olympic Kingsway | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | Perth RedStar FC | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Fremantle City FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 5 | Perth SC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 38 | 32 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Sorrento | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 38 | 23 |
| 9 | Dianella White Eagles | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 20 |
| 10 | Perth Glory NPL | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | Armadale | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 51 | 18 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayswater City | Stirling Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| Sorrento | 7-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Olympic Kingsway | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Perth SC | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Perth RedStar FC | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Armadale | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dianella White Eagles | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayswater City (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayswater City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Sydney FC Australia Cup |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 26/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
Stirling Macedonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/05 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayswater City vs Stirling Macedonia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayswater City win (54%). Probabilities: Bayswater City 54%, draw 23%, Stirling Macedonia 22%.
How many goals are expected in Bayswater City vs Stirling Macedonia?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Bayswater City 2.05 · Stirling Macedonia 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayswater City vs Stirling Macedonia?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.