Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.34Total
Broadmeadow Magic (W)1.67
Lake Macquarie (W)2.67
1X2
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Draw
Lake Macquarie (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Lake Macquarie (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
0–2–3
Lake Macquarie (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1431 · Lake Macquarie (W) 1510
| Broadmeadow Magic (W) | Draw | Lake Macquarie (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 19% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lake Macquarie (W) (rating 1431 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Lake Macquarie (W): 3-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Broadmeadow Magic (W) | Lake Macquarie (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.8 | 3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 0–2–3 Lake Macquarie (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Lake Macquarie (W) | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 06/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Lake Macquarie (W) | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 25/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Lake Macquarie (W) |
| 24/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Lake Macquarie (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) |
| 14/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 1-8 HT 0-3 | Lake Macquarie (W) |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maitland FC (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 58 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | New Lambton FC (W) | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 28 | 34 |
| 3 | Lake Macquarie (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 21 |
| 4 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 12 |
| 5 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 12 |
| 6 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 10 |
| 7 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | Lake Macquarie (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| New Lambton FC (W) | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Maitland FC (W) | 2-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Broadmeadow Magic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-4 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
Lake Macquarie (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 28/03 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lake Macquarie (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Broadmeadow Magic (W) 22%, draw 19%, Lake Macquarie (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)?
The model expects 4.34 goals (Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1.67 · Lake Macquarie (W) 2.67), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Broadmeadow Magic (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.