Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 26/07, 05:00

Prediction: Newcastle Olympic FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Newcastle Olympic FC (W)1.7

Broadmeadow Magic (W)2.6

1X2

24% 19% 57%

Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Draw Broadmeadow Magic (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLLLL

Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLDLD

Head-to-head

Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 3–3 Broadmeadow Magic (W) (6 last)

Broadmeadow Magic (W)5-0Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
Newcastle Olympic FC (W)1-3Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Broadmeadow Magic (W)0-2Newcastle Olympic FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1415 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 1466

	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	Draw	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Our model	24%	20%	57%
Market	24%	19%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadmeadow Magic (W) (rating 1415 vs 1466).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 3.7	2.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	1 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:21 +1’	3.70	4.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 3–0–3 Broadmeadow Magic (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
14/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
21/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
16/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	2-8 HT 1-4	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)
20/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	2-5 HT 2-2	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
09/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maitland FC (W)	14	12	1	1	64	9	37
2	New Lambton FC (W)	14	11	1	2	49	28	34
3	Lake Macquarie (W)	15	6	4	5	22	26	22
4	Broadmeadow Magic (W)	14	3	4	7	30	37	13
5	Adamstown Rosebud (W)	14	3	3	8	25	32	12
6	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	13	3	1	9	18	44	10
7	Charlestown Azzurri (W)	14	2	4	8	11	43	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Newcastle Olympic FC (W)	Broadmeadow Magic (W)
Lake Macquarie (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
New Lambton FC (W)	1-6 L	2-3 L
Adamstown Rosebud (W)	2-4 L	0-3 L
Maitland FC (W)	0-5 L	2-6 L
Charlestown Azzurri (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newcastle Olympic FC (W)

LWLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	0	0	L
13/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-4	1-6	5	0	L
30/05	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	2-4	6	2	L
22/05	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-5	2	1	L
15/05	Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
24/04	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/04	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
11/04	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
29/03	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	3-2	4	1	W
21/03	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-5	1-9	2	0	L

Broadmeadow Magic (W)

LWLLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
19/06	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	2	L
13/06	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/06	New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-2	2-3	3	1	L
03/06	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	0-4	2-6	1	1	L
15/05	Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	0	W
10/05	Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
18/04	Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	2-4	3-5	3	5	L
10/04	Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	7	1	W
27/03	Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women	1-4	2-4	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newcastle Olympic FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Broadmeadow Magic (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 24%, draw 19%, Broadmeadow Magic (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in Newcastle Olympic FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Newcastle Olympic FC (W) 1.7 · Broadmeadow Magic (W) 2.6), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Newcastle Olympic FC (W) vs Broadmeadow Magic (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.