Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 19/07, 07:00
Prediction: Maitland FC (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
Maitland FC (W)2.99
Charlestown Azzurri (W)0.99
1X2
Maitland FC (W)
Draw
Charlestown Azzurri (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Maitland FC (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Charlestown Azzurri (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maitland FC (W)
2–1–3
Charlestown Azzurri (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maitland FC (W) 1594 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 1472
| Maitland FC (W) | Draw | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.98 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (W) (rating 1594 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Charlestown Azzurri (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maitland FC (W) | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland FC (W) 2–1–3 Charlestown Azzurri (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
| 07/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
| 06/09/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
| 23/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
| 17/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
| 15/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maitland FC (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 58 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | New Lambton FC (W) | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 28 | 34 |
| 3 | Lake Macquarie (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 21 |
| 4 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 12 |
| 5 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 12 |
| 6 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 10 |
| 7 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maitland FC (W) | Charlestown Azzurri (W) |
|---|---|---|
| New Lambton FC (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 6-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 5-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Lake Macquarie (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Maitland FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 8-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
5-1 | 9-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Charlestown Azzurri (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/06 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 13/03 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland FC (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maitland FC (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Maitland FC (W) 86%, draw 9%, Charlestown Azzurri (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Maitland FC (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?
The model expects 3.98 goals (Maitland FC (W) 2.99 · Charlestown Azzurri (W) 0.99), with a 62% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maitland FC (W) vs Charlestown Azzurri (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.