Football · South Korea K League 1 · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul

Team pages: Pohang Steelers · FC Seoul

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Pohang Steelers1.1

FC Seoul1.34

1X2

29% 30% 41%

Pohang Steelers Draw FC Seoul

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Pohang Steelers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLDD

FC Seoul 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Pohang Steelers 2–1–3 FC Seoul (6 last)

FC Seoul3-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers0-1FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers0-0FC Seoul
FC Seoul1-2Pohang Steelers
FC Seoul4-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-0FC Seoul

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Seoul (rating 1472 vs 1564).
H2H favours FC Seoul: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.86

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.51 → 4.51	Pinn 4.51
X	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +6’	4.51	3.42	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pohang Steelers 2–1–3 FC Seoul

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	3-1 HT 1-0	Pohang Steelers
18/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Seoul
09/11/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Seoul
18/10/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-2 HT 0-1	Pohang Steelers
29/06/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	4-1 HT 3-0	Pohang Steelers
27/04/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Seoul

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	29	19	5	5	55	23	62
2	Ulsan HD	29	14	5	10	44	38	47
3	Jeonbuk Motors	29	11	10	8	36	26	43
4	Jeju SK	29	11	10	8	34	29	43
5	Gangwon FC	28	10	12	6	36	27	42
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	29	10	9	10	45	36	39
7	Incheon Utd	28	10	7	11	35	32	37
8	Pohang Steelers	29	10	7	12	26	33	37
9	FC Anyang	29	8	11	10	36	46	35
10	Bucheon	29	7	11	11	31	38	32
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	29	4	18	7	28	36	30
12	Gwangju FC	29	1	11	17	19	61	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pohang Steelers	FC Seoul
Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-2 D	4-2 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Jeonbuk Motors	0-2 L	2-1 W
Bucheon	0-3 L	1-0 W
Gwangju FC	2-1 W	5-2 W
Ulsan HD	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pohang Steelers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	1	3	D
09/09	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
30/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
25/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
22/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
15/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
01/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
25/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

FC Seoul

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
05/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
25/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
22/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	5-0	7-0	3	5	W
15/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-1	4-2	5	6	W
08/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
01/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/07	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Seoul win (41%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 29%, draw 30%, FC Seoul 41%.

How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Pohang Steelers 1.1 · FC Seoul 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.