Football · South Korea K League 1 · 20/09, 09:30
Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC
Team pages: Jeonbuk Motors · Gwangju FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Jeonbuk Motors1.66
Gwangju FC0.78
1X2
Jeonbuk Motors
Draw
Gwangju FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Jeonbuk Motors
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Gwangju FC
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeonbuk Motors
3–3–0
Gwangju FC
(6 last)
- Jeonbuk Motors4-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC0-0Jeonbuk Motors
- Gwangju FC1-1Jeonbuk Motors
- Gwangju FC1-2Jeonbuk Motors
- Gwangju FC0-1Jeonbuk Motors
- Jeonbuk Motors2-2Gwangju FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeonbuk Motors (rating 1509 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors 3–3–0 Gwangju FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 14/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 06/12/25 South Korea Cup | Gwangju FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 26/07/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 11/05/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 23/02/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Gwangju FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 23 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 47 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 43 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 42 |
| 6 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 39 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | 37 |
| 8 | Pohang Steelers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 37 |
| 9 | FC Anyang | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 46 | 35 |
| 10 | Bucheon | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 30 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeonbuk Motors | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Gangwon FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Incheon Utd | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Bucheon | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Jeju SK | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Jeonbuk Motors (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Gwangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeonbuk Motors win (57%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 57%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Jeonbuk Motors 1.66 · Gwangju FC 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.