Football · Australia Tasmania Super League Women · 15/08, 06:30
Prediction: Launceston City (W) vs Launceston United (W)
Team pages: Launceston City (W) · Launceston United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.31Total
Launceston City (W)1.5
Launceston United (W)2.81
1X2
Launceston City (W)
Draw
Launceston United (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Launceston City (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Launceston United (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Launceston City (W)
1–1
Launceston United (W)
(2 last)
- Launceston City (W)5-0Launceston United (W)
- Launceston United (W)7-0Launceston City (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Launceston City (W) 1459 · Launceston United (W) 1489
| Launceston City (W) | Draw | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| Market | 18% | 18% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City (W) | Launceston United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/0/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 3.8 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City (W) 1–0–1 Launceston United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston City (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Launceston United (W) |
| 06/05/26 Australia Tasmania Super League Women | Launceston United (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Launceston City (W) |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devonport City (W) | 17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 7 | 48 |
| 2 | Glenorchy Knights (W) | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | South Hobart (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 26 | 29 |
| 4 | Kingborough Lions (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Launceston United (W) | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 19 |
| 6 | Launceston City (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 50 | 16 |
| 7 | Taroona (W) | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 14 |
| 8 | Riverside Olympic (W) | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 84 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City (W) | Launceston United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Devonport City (W) | 0-9 L | 0-5 L |
| Riverside Olympic (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kingborough Lions (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Taroona (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Launceston United (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-9 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Devonport Strikers (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Launceston United (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Launceston United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 17 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Taroona (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Devonport City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Riverside Olympic (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Launceston City (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Glenorchy Knights (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingborough Lions (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | South Hobart (W) Australia Tasmania Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Launceston United (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Launceston City (W) 18%, draw 18%, Launceston United (W) 64%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Launceston City (W) 1.5 · Launceston United (W) 2.81), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City (W) vs Launceston United (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.