Football · China Super League · 25/07, 14:00
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Wuhan Three Towns1.32
Chongqing Tonglianglong1.31
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns
0–1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
(1 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chongqing Tonglianglong (rating 1458 vs 1511).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Chongqing Tonglianglong | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 0.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 0–0–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 China Super League | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns win (36%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 29%, Chongqing Tonglianglong 35%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.32 · Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.