Football · China Super League · 26/07, 13:00
Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Yunnan Yukun2.19
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.59
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
Draw
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun
3–0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Yunnan Yukun: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6 | 3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 3–0–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3-4 HT 2-3 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 26/07/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 28/03/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Yunnan Yukun |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Henan | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China FA Cup |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China FA Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yunnan Yukun win (51%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 51%, draw 22%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Yunnan Yukun 2.19 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.59), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.