Football · China Super League · 26/07, 13:35
Prediction: Shandong Taishan vs Henan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Shandong Taishan2.08
Henan1.39
1X2
Shandong Taishan
Draw
Henan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shandong Taishan
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Henan
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shandong Taishan
2–3–1
Henan
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1554 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan 2–3–1 Henan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 China Super League | Henan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan |
| 30/06/25 China Super League | Henan | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Shandong Taishan |
| 23/02/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Henan |
| 21/08/24 China FA Cup | Shandong Taishan | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Henan |
| 28/07/24 China Super League | Henan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 09/04/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shandong Taishan | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Zhejiang | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Henan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan vs Henan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan win (52%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan 52%, draw 23%, Henan 25%.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan vs Henan?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Shandong Taishan 2.08 · Henan 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan vs Henan?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.