Football · China Super League · 26/07, 13:35
Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Chengdu Rongcheng1.78
Beijing Guoan1.1
1X2
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chengdu Rongcheng
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chengdu Rongcheng
3–2–1
Beijing Guoan
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengdu Rongcheng (rating 1589 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.4 | 2.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng 3–2–1 Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 26/07/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 29/03/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 14/09/24 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 05/05/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 29/10/23 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chengdu Rongcheng | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Shanghai Port | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Henan | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 15/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng win (52%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng 52%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 22%.
How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng 1.78 · Beijing Guoan 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.