Football · China Super League · 14/08, 13:35
Prediction: Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
Team pages: Shandong Taishan · Qingdao Hainiu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Shandong Taishan2.43
Qingdao Hainiu1.51
1X2
Shandong Taishan
Draw
Qingdao Hainiu
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shandong Taishan
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Qingdao Hainiu
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shandong Taishan
2–3–1
Qingdao Hainiu
(6 last)
- Qingdao Hainiu4-1Shandong Taishan
- Qingdao Hainiu2-2Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan1-1Qingdao Hainiu
- Shandong Taishan1-1Qingdao Hainiu
- Qingdao Hainiu0-1Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan4-2Qingdao Hainiu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1500 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan | Qingdao Hainiu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3.4 | 1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan 2–3–1 Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 20/09/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Shandong Taishan |
| 01/05/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 13/07/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 05/04/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 15/09/23 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 32 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 31 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 24 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 24 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 41 | 23 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 22 |
| 12 | Henan | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shandong Taishan | Qingdao Hainiu |
|---|---|---|
| Henan | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 4-3 W | 4-2 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Qingdao Hainiu (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan win (57%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan 57%, draw 20%, Qingdao Hainiu 22%.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Shandong Taishan 2.43 · Qingdao Hainiu 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.