Football · China Super League · 29/08, 11:00
Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu vs Wuhan Three Towns
Team pages: Qingdao Hainiu · Wuhan Three Towns
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Qingdao Hainiu1.42
Wuhan Three Towns1.43
1X2
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao Hainiu
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Qingdao Hainiu
2–1–3
Wuhan Three Towns
(6 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns1-3Qingdao Hainiu
- Qingdao Hainiu1-0Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns2-0Qingdao Hainiu
- Qingdao Hainiu1-1Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-0Qingdao Hainiu
- Wuhan Three Towns1-0Qingdao Hainiu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wuhan Three Towns (rating 1415 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Wuhan Three Towns: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao Hainiu | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Hainiu 2–1–3 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 02/11/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 13/06/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 15/09/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 05/05/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 30/07/23 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 36 |
| 3 | Qingdao West Coast | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 5 | Dalian Young Boy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 33 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 33 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 26 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
| 12 | Liaoning Ironman | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 24 |
| 13 | Henan | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 23 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Qingdao Hainiu | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Yunnan Yukun | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qingdao Hainiu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wuhan Three Towns win (37%). Probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu 36%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 37%.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao Hainiu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Qingdao Hainiu 1.42 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Hainiu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.