Football · China Super League · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Team pages: Shandong Taishan · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Shandong Taishan2.23
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.34
1X2
Shandong Taishan
Draw
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Shandong Taishan
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shandong Taishan
5–0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(5 last)
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1-2Shandong Taishan
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1-3Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan4-0Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1-4Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan3-2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan (rating 1539 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan 5–0–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Shandong Taishan |
| 16/08/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Shandong Taishan |
| 11/04/25 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 28/09/24 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan |
| 16/05/24 China Super League | Shandong Taishan | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 37 |
| 3 | Qingdao West Coast | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian Young Boy | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 36 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | 35 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 32 |
| 8 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 28 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 28 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 12 | Henan | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 19 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shandong Taishan | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Shanghai Port | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 4-3 W | 3-4 L |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan win (57%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan 57%, draw 22%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 21%.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Shandong Taishan 2.23 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.