Football · China Super League · 05/09, 13:35
Prediction: Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
Team pages: Shanghai Port · Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Shanghai Port1.68
Beijing Guoan1.56
1X2
Shanghai Port
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Port
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Port
2–2–2
Beijing Guoan
(6 last)
- Beijing Guoan2-2Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port0-2Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan2-3Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port1-2Beijing Guoan
- Shanghai Port5-1Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan2-2Shanghai Port
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port 2–2–2 Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Port |
| 01/03/26 China Super Cup | Shanghai Port | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 21/09/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Port |
| 01/05/25 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 12/07/24 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 05/04/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Port |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 37 |
| 3 | Qingdao West Coast | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian Young Boy | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 36 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | 35 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 32 |
| 8 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 28 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 28 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 12 | Henan | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 19 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port win (40%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port 40%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 35%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Shanghai Port 1.68 · Beijing Guoan 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.